Polymarket vs Kalshi API: Best Prediction Market API

Prediction markets turn a forecast into a price between 0 and 1, which makes them a natural target for probabilistic strategies.

Last verified

Quick answer

Both offer free public market data. Polymarket is crypto-settled with Gamma and CLOB APIs; trading needs an EIP-712 wallet signature plus HMAC-signed L2 credentials. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated in the US with REST, WebSocket and FIX; trading requests are RSA-PSS signed with a downloaded private key. Neither signature fits plain HMAC code, so use their SDKs.

Side-by-side comparison

APIMarketsAuthPaper / sandboxPricingIn AlgoGP
PolymarketEvent contracts, CryptoAsymmetric / wallet signing—Public data free; trading fees per marketGuide
KalshiEvent contractsAsymmetric / wallet signingDemo environmentAPI free; per-contract trading feesGuide

Which one should you pick?

Frequently asked questions

Can I backtest prediction market strategies?

Yes: both publish price history; Polymarket via prices-history, Kalshi via market candlesticks.

Test the strategy before you pick the API

Describe your idea to AlgoGP’s copilot, backtest it on years of stock, crypto or forex data with realistic costs, then export Python wired to Kalshi or any built-in broker. Swap the broker later without touching the strategy.

More API comparisons

AlgoGP is not affiliated with any provider listed. Details change; check each provider’s documentation. Nothing here is investment advice.